Elections in the United States: Kamala is ahead of Trump in the polls
September 29, 20242 Mins Read

International Desk: Presidential election in the United States on November 5. Recent polls have put Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris ahead of rival Republican candidate Donald Trump. A new Guardian poll has Kamala at 48.2 percent and Trump at 44.4 percent. In this case, Kamala is 3.6 percent ahead of Trump. The survey was conducted for 10 days.

According to the Guardian, recent polls have shown the two candidates getting equal support in most swing states, though Kamla is ahead. In a polling analysis website FiveThirtyEight, Kamla was leading with 2.9 percent support. In this poll, Kamala got 58 percent and Trump 42 percent support.

The important point is that the Electoral Colleges (538) elected by popular vote cast the final vote for the presidential election. George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore in 2000 in the process. Although Al Gore was ahead by 540,000 votes nationwide in the popular vote, he lost in the electoral vote. Similarly, in 2016, Trump won the presidency with 2.7 million votes less than Hillary Clinton. Because Trump won electoral votes in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

On the other hand, Kamala Harris is ahead of Trump in a Republican poll. The survey was conducted by Republican-founded Echelon Insights. It shows that Kamala is ahead with 52 percent support and Trump has 45 percent support. Thirty-seven percent of the poll's participants said they would definitely vote for Trump. On the contrary, 45 percent were in favor of orange.

Meanwhile, many Democrats fear that the situation in 2016 could be created. If true, it would be a nightmare for Democrats. CNN data analyst Harry Enten said winning the 270 Electoral College will be the real contest. In that case, Trump is more likely to be ahead than Kamala.